Multivariate generalized linear mixed models for joint estimation of sporting outcomes

Authors

  • Jennifer Broatch School of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Arizona State University, Glendale,United States
  • Andrew Karl Consultant, Adsurgo LLC, Denver, United States

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26398/IJAS.0030-008

Keywords:

Sports analytics, Generalized linear mixed models, Correlated random effects, R software

Abstract

This paper explores improvements in prediction accuracy and inference capability when allowing for potential correlation in team-level random effects across multiple
game-level responses from different assumed distributions. First-order and fully exponential Laplace approximations are used to fit normal-binary and Poisson-binary multi- variate
generalized linear mixed models with non-nested random effects structures. We have built these models into the R package mvglmmRank, which is used to explore several seasons of
American college football and basketball data.

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Published

2020-02-14

How to Cite

Broatch, J. ., & Karl, A. . (2020). Multivariate generalized linear mixed models for joint estimation of sporting outcomes. Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, 30(2), 189–211. https://doi.org/10.26398/IJAS.0030-008

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